The Specialist

Times like this. I bet your batting average is really low, and probably at the 30's. So during this time, I am very picky on which names to trade, and made sure that size is pretty low.

Last trade done for me is $SPNEC. Bought at 1.85 sold earlier at 2.02 with a var of just 0.5%. Port exposure is just 20% at the moment. I'm not really thinking of being aggressive, as port results is not showing any tractions. 

Good luck out there!

3 hours ago, Batang hampas lupa said:

PSE close at GREEN candle...

Tapos naba ang panic selling...

 

Just finished screening. For me, hindi pa, it needs time to repair the damage. Lagi naman ganun yan. But it would be a good habit, to have an open mind to look for names that is holding the drop or recovered fast. Gaya ngaun, nakita ko na ung mga yun. So what I'll gonna do, is to monitor those names.

For URC, it recovers today. To me what happens in here is the "rubber band" effect. Dalawa yun, on the upside and on the downside. 

Ex. $NIKL, price runs up so fast in few days only (extended). So ung naging drop nya is mabilis rin. Common term nila dito is, escalator up, elevator down. 

Then, if you noticed. yung mga gumalaw end of week last week is yung mga low priced stock. Simple reason is, magaan at low price. So madali pagalawin. Nilalaro lang yung mga yun, If one will observed the move. Normally its a few days rally then bubuhusan na. They term it the one hit wonder.

So on the downside example naman like $URC, market might be seeing na sagad na on the downside. So ito ung capitualization play (running). Rubberband effect on the downside. So meaning, nagrarally pa taas, then since maraming sellers sa taas. Bubuhusan after din. 

I hope naexplained ko ng maayos. If you want a video explanation, look for COL in youtube, then ung capitualization. Dun inexplain nila edmund and other traders ung opportunity na cinacapture nila. 

Ako di ako after sa capitualization play. Dun ako sa new leader name na mag-eemerge, mas madali kasi un. Yoko pahirapan ung sarili ko dito. So up to the people yun, if go sila or not.

Soon, those heavily invested at the market at this point. Will realize, my message before. That it is a must, to study how the market really works through its cycles.

"There is a time for making money, and there is a time to go and went fishing".  

Why? Because, they will have huge loss on their portfolio.

Sun is out. I am trying to refresh and relax with the breeze of the sea. Might opt to went fishing later. Good day! 

On 2/21/2022 at 2:18 PM, The Specialist said:

So this already happened today. $SPNEC crashed on volume.

Feedback: Other names on the group did hold.

Now for $SPNEC, Either of the 3 will happen next. 

1. Continuous move on the downside. Possibly, regained 20MA, then plummets fast down, or at the open tom crash slowly until sellers were done to sell what they have.

2. Regain the 20MA, then holds, setup. Then rally to upside (then sell off once again).

3. Regain 20MA, then holds, setup, then rally to the upside and break the ATH level (will take some time, lowest probability for now).

One thing is for sure. There are a lot of traders wanna be who bought few weeks ago (humabol), who didnt cut their losses. Who are now promoted to being an investor. Guess what, they are now holding a huge loss.

The one still in profit is the buyers who bought at IPO day, and some that have a lower average.

-Lesson: It is okay to bet, and risk small. This was a probability game after all. But know when you are wrong and you should accept(selling at a loss, the 1st loss is always good than the next).

 

So scenario 1 did happen this time for $SPNEC.

Look below:

41 minutes ago, Batang hampas lupa said:

Sir ano ang insight mo kay urc bakit bumababa siya. 

I dont have any info about it, sorry. This was a clear downtrending stock, and i dont trade those kinds even if this was fundamentally sound, or a good company. Never, pumapasok sa qualifier ko ito.

Now all cash on PSEI. Last trades where $ICT, small loss. Reason for buying is, leader name for shipping + Ecommerce the only business not that affected (shipping).

Then scratched for $GMA7, sold at breakeven point. It is my bet for the election day, btw. Here's why, uptrending chart + catalyst, politicians use it for debates and commercials. 

RE: position sizing/Risk management. Both trades are probes.  0.5% Var for each trade.

Both were sold. Trade invalidated, as it hits my cut points (technicals use for selling). I hope you could get something from the idea. 

15 hours ago, francis_0170 said:

Agree sir. Ako nga, tingin ko mas marami pa number losses ko compared sa wins. Pero halos break even lang dahil sa naging profit.

 

Any thoughts on possible scenario ng upcoming election sa stocks? Historically, baba daw before ng election to protect investors or kung feel nila yung susunod na president?

IPO of bank of commerce? Thanks in advance!

I'll point you to the right way of questioning sir.

- Which stock do you think, will greatly benefit on the election? 

- Then you check the chart of those trade ideas. Are they in uptrend, downtrend or sideways?

- Are those names liquid to start off. and being accumulated or being distributed.

Nasabe ko na yung technique na yun before. "Tag as thinking ahead of the norms". Kung itatrack mo kasi, at ilalagay mo sa isip mo na babagsak. Sa tingin mo, makukuha mo ung paparating na opportunity? The answer is no. Because you are just scaring yourself.

So Let's try to reverse that idea. Since ito naman ung may silbi. Of all the 300 stock names. Which do you think will greatly benefit from it? Pag ganto yung thinking. Diba, on the positive note and higher chances for you to look deeply kung sino ung outlier from the rest. To simply put, if your idea. Is not validated with the charts, meaning di positive ung nakikita mo, edi pass. Then move to the next stock. Until you finished, that screening process.

Ngaun, pano kung wala kang makita na. Positive via fundamentals/technicals and walang catalyst? The answer is, do not trade. Kasi wala naman kelangan gawen.

Sana mas napadali ko ung dapat na thought process.

Bibigyan kita ng simple scenario.

Nung christmas or end of year. Which do you think benefit from it aside from the leader names, acex, ubp and emp?.

The answer is banks. Why? its because, every end of year. History shows, great demand for ofw remittances, which isa sa bumubuhay sa pinas for revenue's. Diba umangat sila? So parang ganun yung ibig kung sabihin. Di kelangan gawing kumplikado.

My peace of advice. Buy the books i mentioned and study it carefully. From there, you will understand where I'm coming from. That is, if you are really serious about making money in the stock market. 

Di sumikat ung mga tao na yun for nothing at all. It's a results based why they became famous. And they haven't just done it once, their very consistent. Surely, after you read those books, you will be enlighten of the myths and facts about the market.

So what's the benefits of reading their works:

- you will get to know how the market really works.

- you will know how they made their money "step by step". 

- you will avoid huge drawdowns "since they already mentioned in the books what they have learned from those and how to overcome it".

- you will know, how to manage your risk, stock position from start to finished.

- other external factors that you should really focus on. And neglect the other nuances, that is not really needed.

- you will know how to pick a good stock, and avoid a bad stock.

- you will know when to act, and when not to act.

These are some of the things you will learn. 

11 hours ago, francis_0170 said:

Agree sir. Ako nga, tingin ko mas marami pa number losses ko compared sa wins. Pero halos break even lang dahil sa naging profit.

 

Any thoughts on possible scenario ng upcoming election sa stocks? Historically, baba daw before ng election to protect investors or kung feel nila yung susunod na president?

IPO of bank of commerce? Thanks in advance!

Please see answers on bullets below:

- Losses is a function of your expected gain. The key is, you must try your best to limit your losses to atleast 8-10% max. Best is below -5%. So why this number? Here is the table, that not all understand. As you can see, when losses hit 10%, it became much harder to recover and so on when it balloons. In trading or investing, the holy grail is risk management. Risk first, profit next. Meaning the 1st job is to limit risk, then when the odds is in your favor. get some profit that is multiple of what you have risked. 

- It would be volatile, thats for sure. No one can predict it, gagalaw at gagalaw yan either up, down or sideways. And i'll explained it in a very simple thought. Kaya volatile, kc pinaprice in ng market kung sino ung possible manalo. Maswerte yung kapanalig or if pabor or leaning yung goal nung mananalong president sa business, kasi mabibiyayaan yun. Why? kapanalig nga e. It means, business would be smooth in the years to come. Kaya aangat ung stock nila. 

Now for "Historically, baba daw before ng election to protect investors or kung feel nila yung susunod na president?". - Have you verified this through charts and back tracking events?

To tell you the truth, "protecting the investors thing" is just a merely sugar coating. Example, yung mga naipit sa $CAL, AR, at sa iba may nagawa ba sila? Wala. Miski PSEI, walang nagawa diba? So it is a myth. That is why, managing risk should always be there in the 1st place when a trade is place. Protecting your capital is not their job. It's yours! And in case the fund is managed by a fund manager, its the fund manager's job! 

A much more wise qualifier on choosing would be.

- historically, ano ba ung umaangat pag election? What names and why? so study and observed.

- Ano ba ung mga liquid name? Focus on the individual stocks that is in uptrends

- Or if volatility is too much for you, or uncertainty, it is best to just be on the sidelines. Di naman nauubos opportunity sa markets e. Antayin mo lang ung gumanda, and get the next possible move. Mas simple.

For IPO bank of commerce. For me it would be a pass. 1st of all i dont trade IPO stocks on their 1st day of trading. since risk reward is 1:1. I only trade a stock, if risk is small and reward is a multiple of my risk. So patience for me. Protecting capital is my number one priority, sa madaling sabi.

Next reason, Fed raising high interest rates. Look at my previous post re: banks. Open the chart, and perhaps see, from that date forward what happens with the banks. High interest rates = bad for the banks. So im not touching it. Also, market is a little bit choppy nowadays. Im a little bit cautious right now.

With regards, to what i mentioned. Take it with a grain of salt. It doesnt mean that I am not touching the IPO stock or any stock i mentioned, that it wouldnt go up. Think in probabilities please. Also, I am not God. hahaha! What I am merely doing is gathering evidence from fundamentals/technicals/risk and judging it base on my system if it is a go or pass. Hopefully, my answer gave some clarity.

Realities of trading: Not all are wins. Here's a sample, where I cut a trade, just now.

5 hours ago, Batang hampas lupa said:

Nag take profit na ang mga trader kaya bumaba ang mga mining stocks kanina...

Congrats sa mga nakasakay kay fni at nikl...

Correct. Here is why, just my point of view. Nickel futures was halted because prices go wild up. In that sense, nagkaron ng short squeeze. So sellers, kc mas pinili ng mga tao to sell and take profit than risk their money on staying on the name (with lots of uncertainty if prices will still goes up, sideways for quite sometime or continue on the downside). Simple reason, nirealized ung gains, may a quarter of the position, a half, or the whole position. Because in that way, they can minimize the risk involved.

Now for the decision why i sold yesterday EOD. It simply, selling at strength (sell when its easy, no drawdowns on equity gains) and i still hold half just in case, the stock continue its move to the upside.

The next sell is basically, sinabe ko naren sa taas. Its because of the nickel futures. I was just trying to hold it, gave a little room for price to fluctuate. But not to the extent that I will lay the odds outside my favor.

As you can see, $NIKL has move 50% plus in just several days. Not all is aware that as prices extends to the highs. Risk reward also evolves. Sa madaling sabe, at the highs lumiliit ung reward, vs your risk. Kaya prone sa selling. 

Question: would you risk 25% of your gains to earn 6-10% more? Simple answer is no. 

I am not saying that the $NIKL stock already ended at this point. It was still a good stock and a name that I am still watching. So buhay pa. I just made the decision to sell it, since the getting is good. After all, a normal stock move, would take more than few weeks to months to actually reach a 25- 30%.(one will know it, if they are actually studying).

So a price increase of 51% or more in just few days. Hence, became a "no brainer sell" for taking profit.

Also, lets say this reset up. I can still buy it at any moment in time. Yes, i will purchase it at a higher price. But the amount of shares I can buy, is quite more if i want it to. Because i could buy the original size + profit gains. The strategy is called value turnover "power of compounding". Or i didnt re-purchased it and miss the next move "opportunity cost" this is part of the game.

So whats happens, if i didnt sell it yesterday and today. The answer is, my gains were cut short. To be honest, I got the liberty of both. Holding for a bigger move and selling at huge price swings to the upside because for a simple reason. "I am up on the stock". That i might say is a big difference. Comparing when you are holding at a loss. The options is just selling at a loss, or at break even that is, if babalik sa taas. Eh pano kung hindi? 

What If someone is playing for a bigger move? This correction have to be endured. The cost is, no one knows if it will be back at the highs or your gains will be cut short or maybe mawala. So may risk involved (unmeasurable risk). So its a call that an individual has to make. After all, only God knows if a stock will move up, side or down. All probabilities.

The lesson: Make a decision and follow the plan. Not all have this discipline.

Markets is easy talked with. But hard to do. If this is easy, everyone by now will be a multi millionaire or a billionaire.

A classic example of stocks correlation between NIKL FUTURES and NIKL PH. Sold some of my holdings yesterday EOD (price extension), and the rest at the open earlier (hit my back stop). For now, there are just very limited setups available. Hence, I am just 50% invested with my port, and not trying to be aggressive. I wanted to see strong names, before I do my buying. Normally, stocks must prove 1st that they are worthy to be bought by showing its strength vs the overall market.

I have noticed a sell-off yesterday on the overall market. Sa mga ipit, one thing is for sure. The rally that will be unfolding soon will be your perfect chance, to sell at a much higher price than yesterday. Keep in mind, that not all battered stocks go up to it's original prices at the top and after all there is no intelligent reason to hold a plummeting stock since it didn't make you money in the 1st place. Trash are meant to be dumped and not hold.

Classic example: $ACEN - run is over, it's just that people can't accept it. Now, they are been punished by holding a loss. That is, if they bought at the higher prices than the current one. 

Screenshot for your reference.

I hope someone had patiently read the long post above and maybe try to looked at it in a no bias manner. Make a due diligence to scan the mentioned names, work on a trade plan, and executed at your own discipline. From there on, you might have catch some of the below names. screenshot attached.

If you do, you might have catched the mining and oil names rally. My congratulations to everyone, who worked hard, this is how the market repays you for your hard work (shown in 🤑🤑 through your port). Today, this shows domination. Bulag lang di makakita.

To those who haven't catched it. Try harder. Eventually hardwork pays off. 

For those that just walking in the park. Relying on the reco's. Good luck!

Have a nice day everyone!

A good company may not be a good stock. See below charts for your reference. If you'll gonna pick, it should be both, Good company and a good stock (prices increasing).

Normal thinking lang naman ng mga tao is. Uy, binuhusan si stock $ABC, bili tau nun. high upside. That's the main reason, why we avoid it. It only means, the move may already ended (cycle), there is an underlying issue that is not yet unfolding. Plus, maraming ipit. Not all realized, kung baket sobrang tagal ng oras bago umangat itong mga to. Isang reason na dun ung maraming ipit, so sellers everywhere. Kada angat ng konti, ung mga tao chances na yun to sell, to minimize losses and not all stocks do recover.  Choose wisely!

For your reference. Below are some of the dead money.

As I mentioned before, US markets might or may not correlate in the other markets. But if you check on it. The only groups that is moving is energy, precious metals, defense stocks and oil.

If you will look into David ryan's tweet. He mentioned it. Ngaun, given this info, would just only believed? The real answer is no, you will have to validate it. This has been a good practice. You will hear the same thing to them, because I learned those information to them as well. :)

Important facts/events in the psei today:

- trading hours (back to normal hours, 9:30am-3:00pm; advantage it will provide more liquidity in to the markets.

- 1st day of the month (normally the name/s that comes out strong will set a good tone for the stock; so be wary of it. Ex. SCC, gumalaw yesterday because of good earnings; not really sure if anyone have notice it.) if nagtataka kung baket malakas yun, coming from a correction, gap up on vol.

- I think banks leadership is already done. This is just how i interpret its prices. If gagamitan ng utak, it is because of US inflation. Not sure if anyone is tracking the fed activity. But recently they posted it. Inflation/high interest rates is bad for banks.

- RE: Bad sentiments regarding the russia-ukraine. It is normal that people got scared. What really happened there is people are managing risk. kaya yung mga up na, for sure nagtake profit yung mga yun. Yung iba na-stop out on the trade (quite normal), like some of my positions, and ung iba, talo syempre. Here is the mindset that i want to leave, on this kind of events. Instead of just being scared. Have an optimistic mindset, you just need to look for names that is quite strong. Holding despite of the correction or doing otherwise (prices increasing). A good mindset is, " ah may gera, ano kaya ung magbebenefit dito?" Walang sense, kung iisipin mo ung ano kaya mangyayare sa gera, sino mananalo? Pag ganto mindset mo, malamang ma miss mo ung move.

Sa mga may tanong, dun sa nabuhusan on some names, and it dont recover in the ff days, with you holding some losses. Isa lang ibig sabihin, mali ka, follow the market and drop your ego. Sell at a loss, and rotate the money in to a much stronger name. It's better to have a small loss, than a huge one.

Tracking the news, will just cloud your decision. But if you are trying to interpret the prices for sure you will see which names are strong. Bigay ko naren yung matagal ng leader, para di na kau mahirapan. Its the mining sector.

-SCC and DMC is a good pick, if you asked me. 

Ofcourse, I didn't mentioned anyone to buy any asset. Your money, your call. Just have the mindset of anything can happen.

Tawanan ko nalang si "Trader wanna be". Aside from puro talo naman, di naman din talaga alam ung mga pinagsasabi. Non-sense lang sagutin. You will only know, what I hold, if your a client. hahahaha!

Here's a glimpse of $NIKL. The leader in mining sector. Quite extended for now. I hope your eyes, could see. how strong it is.

Quick explanation: The line chart is your PSEI, and the candle bars is your $nikl. As you can see, psei is in a sideways fashion (basing pattern). But if you will closely look in $NIKL, you will see that it already breakouts with volume (tawag dito, outlier). Stocks moves in groups, that is the same reason why mining names are in favor. SCC, DMC, NIKL, and etc... choose the liquid name.  

Leader name for energy is $MER.

Medyo, tinatamad nako magpost dito. So I will just wish all of you the best of luck! I hope, what I have shared to you in the past, somewhat helped you on your investing/trading journey. Good day!

Wag ka mag-alala, naniniwala akong di ka na-stress. 🙈🙈🙈

Doesnt really matter if I am right or wrong. Just want to be clear with that. Treat any info with a grain of salt. And follow the market. 

Kung di magets yung "follow the market" simple lang.

If sabe ng isa, tataas si stock $ABC, pero bumaba. Sino tama? Market price, so follow it.

If sabe ng isa si stock $DEF, babagsak ito. Pero umaangat, sino tama? Market price pren. 

Wag mag argue sa presyo. laging tama yun, kahet tingin mo pa, dapat umangat yung hawak mo. Pero di umaangat. Isa lang ibig sabihin, mali ka! Wag mong subukan ipilit. Because opinions are often wrong in the markets. 

At yung mistakes na yan, dito ay costly. Yung iba dumadahilan pa, maliit lang naman ung allocation ko dun. So, pag mali di kaya i-accept?

Do the math: if sabihin naten worth 1k of shares ung nabili mo kay stock "ABC" if it is -5% on its 1st down day, and next day its already -15 or 20%, isnt that value increases? 

Wag magbulag bulagan. The only thing that will stop the bleeding. Is selling that fucking stock!

Also, a trade should not be done in the 1st place without a well thought plan. Meaning, sa una palang, andyan ung entry, position size (how many shares you will buy), cut point. Di trade plan yan, pag entry lang at position size lang ang merun. 

3 hours ago, arbie1808 said:

Nice call @ichiromiyata98 on spnec. Sa tingin ko it will be no. 2 then no.3 after manalo si mother.

Btw, may site ka ba alam that gives relatively accurate fv ng stocks. Yung subscription ko ang layo.

 

Hahaha, sino si mother? 

With regards to the options i've provided earlier. It was just a mere different scenarios bro. You will acquire the same knowledge if you'll happen to study the markets and have an experience with different market cycles. Ofcourse, that skillsets is not acquired overnight. It takes time, but the good thing is its learnable.

To be honest, I dont have any predetermined bias on any of those options, same goes with any stocks miski hawak ko pa. What I am just merely doing is prepare, prepare, prepare. I hate surprises, when it comes to my trading. And I always try my best to follow where the market is leading me. If the stock is meant to be bought, i buy it. If it is meant to be sold, i sell it. If its acting well, i hold it. Props to MM ofcourse.

Regarding the site for FV (Fair value), wala bro. Sorry. I don't use that in my trading. The reality is, no one could predict any stock's FV or what should its price be. The one listed on those sites, was just merely a guide. It may or may not be reached, or sometimes the price will overshoots its FV. So i dont see any intelligent reason, why people should use it.

I'll give one example, for my above statement. Let's use $ACEN. Before its rally to 12.92. The fair value was just calculated at 3-4 php. But looked where $ACEN has gone through. It quadrupled that amount isnt it? Clearly, those analysis, and analyst who made the call made a mistake and will be making the same mistake in the years to come. Malamang mabaliw yang mga yan sa kaiisip. For the reason, that no one can predict where the price will be going. At the same time, kung susundin mo yun, instead of listening on the market through it price. Isa lang magiging output. Malamang sisihin mo ung guide/analysis dahil naiwan ka or mali sila. This was very common. If you are an avid reader on this thread, malamang may makita ka na ganyan ginawa. hahaha! peace!

Btw, medyo di naman lingid sa akin na pwedeng yung iba siguro nabwiset sa ibang post ko. Or maybe baka nayabangan. It's okay, no harm done for me. I didnt mean to hurt anybody's feelings. I am just telling what i saw, in a very rationale way.

Regarding $SPNEC, back read. I posted, an IPO video by juanis. Where he discusses what happens during the IPO cycle. I get it, no one might have the patience to watched it or study it. Or kung merun man miski may isa nanunuod nun. I tell you, lamang yung tao na yun over the others who doesnt knew it. 

Now, wag magtaka, why people holding with bags of losses. Lalo yung mga humabol, if merun man. No one else to blame in here, but your mere self. Because, the individual didnt made the due diligence on studying how does the IPO moves, and got to emotionally hype that it wont go down. Good eve!

If someone will check or did follow the names dropped on this thread and bought it blindly with the same timing, or maybe bought the following day.

Surely, your port is underwater. Meaning, pulahan. Because those names, were trash. It only shows, that the individual doesnt know how to time the market, criteria is poor on choosing a name, has a poor risk management, has not developed emotional control and etc.

Beware of the gurus, who knew nothing. But talked to much. Good day!

On 2/17/2022 at 11:21 AM, ichiromiyata98 said:

I'm interested to see, what will happen with Energy names, if 1.97 breaks for $SPNEC. 

- It will be a good identifier if other names in the group will crash as well, hold or keep on moving upward.

- It will be faster to know, if insti would support it or olats na. 

My idea is, ok kung susundutin nila, below 1.97. If ako kasi insti, ganun gagawen ko. Plus, the move will be faster either up or down. But I'm no better than the market. Just following what price says. No issues for me if I buy a high price, as long as risk/reward is good and there is a via setup.

So this already happened today. $SPNEC crashed on volume.

Feedback: Other names on the group did hold.

Now for $SPNEC, Either of the 3 will happen next. 

1. Continuous move on the downside. Possibly, regained 20MA, then plummets fast down, or at the open tom crash slowly until sellers were done to sell what they have.

2. Regain the 20MA, then holds, setup. Then rally to upside (then sell off once again).

3. Regain 20MA, then holds, setup, then rally to the upside and break the ATH level (will take some time, lowest probability for now).

One thing is for sure. There are a lot of traders wanna be who bought few weeks ago (humabol), who didnt cut their losses. Who are now promoted to being an investor. Guess what, they are now holding a huge loss.

The one still in profit is the buyers who bought at IPO day, and some that have a lower average.

-Lesson: It is okay to bet, and risk small. This was a probability game after all. But know when you are wrong and you should accept(selling at a loss, the 1st loss is always good than the next).

A trader hat vs investor hat:

Normally, what people do is trader pag tama at in profit. Pero pag mali, down at ipit, yun investor na sila.

One big issue with using this kind of strategy. Is one individual will only cloud his judgement. Should i hold? should I sell? should i buy? should i buy more?

Common na yang down sa isang stock, tas ang gagawen. close port, then aasa na aangat din yan in time. Sometimes, tama ito. Papano kung hindi? Pano kung mas bumaba pa sa dati? -(Just want to clarify, I am just laying information in here, since this normally happens, most especially on highly speculative stocks).

A big loss, always start small. Lumalaki kasi pinabayaan at hinayaan.

Common scenario, open port down 5-6%, after a while down 10, 20% na, down 30 and down 50. 

So syempre, may bagong rason na naman. Sobrang laki na ng talo. Ang bigat na sa loob makita na wala ng value, ung previous purchase. Ang lalabas na sa bibig, ang hirap na i-cut! laki na ng talo ko e. 

If you have time, research AR,CAL, PHA, and other names na may naipit. For sure, makikita nyo yung binanggit kong same thought process nila. Huling balita ko, idedelist na yata ung AR. Yung Cal, ilang taon na, ala pren development sa mga ipit dun.

isipin mo, pano kung ikaw yung isa sa may hawak nun? edi iyak nalang?

My message: It is true, that everyone has an opportunity to make some money on a speculative name. Just know when the music, stop. As always managed your risk.

-Remember, hope is not a strategy. Its a cigarette. -

1 hour ago, Harding said:

that is the beauty of the stock market. different fund manager have their own strategies. maybe they have planned so well that may or may not win at all. that is the reason that not all fund managers are making money and many lost money too. i will prefer to be on the safe side and not too adventorous. 

All I can say is, people get what they want in the market. The one I mentioned by the way, is a scooping technique. This will only holds true, when the price rises after. If binuhusan, edi distribution/profit taking yun, or maybe end of the move? ganun lang kasimple for me. I don't know if someone has already watched a market maker being interviewed (financial institution fund manager). dun ko narinig yun, plus research and experience overtime.

Regarding the "safe side" in the markets. It doesnt exist. Because as long as one individual is invested (have a stock position), your money is always at risk. Anyone could verify this.

The only safe side in the markets is by being in cash "no stock position". You dont win some/ you dont loose some.

There is an online trading event this saturday. Magdedefense yung top 10 winners ng trading cup. Bali ung naging duration nun is 3 months. Tas ung #1 trader's result is 120% returns this cup. 

If you want to learn, and get their strategy. You could register at investagrams. It's a paid event btw, normally cost about 1.5k-2K php. 

This only for people who wanted to learn, elevate their trading/investing, and perhaps to those individuals who wanted to have a better understanding on how the market works. Ididiscuss nila yun dun.

I'm interested to see, what will happen with Energy names, if 1.97 breaks for $SPNEC. 

- It will be a good identifier if other names in the group will crash as well, hold or keep on moving upward.

- It will be faster to know, if insti would support it or olats na. 

My idea is, ok kung susundutin nila, below 1.97. If ako kasi insti, ganun gagawen ko. Plus, the move will be faster either up or down. But I'm no better than the market. Just following what price says. No issues for me if I buy a high price, as long as risk/reward is good and there is a via setup.