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courtesy of hbo

 

BERT SUGAR'S PRE-FIGHT BREAKDOWN

December 2, 2008 - by Bert Sugar with Steve Small

 

 

STRENGTHS OF BOTH FIGHTERS

 

OSCAR DE LA HOYA

 

- De La Hoya is a taller, heavier fighter fighting at a more natural weight than Pacquiao who is moving up from lightweight (135 pounds).

 

- Oscar's height and reach advantage will make it difficult for Pacquiao to get inside where he does that voodoo he does so well.

 

- De La Hoya possesses an effective jab which, together with his mobility and versatility, along with a devastating left hook, make him a more complete fighter than Pacquiao.

 

- A turnaround left hander, Oscar possesses dynamite power in his left hand--especially with his power punch, his left hook.

 

MANNY PACQUIAO

 

- Pacquiao possesses speed and power, throwing quick and explosive punches.

 

- Pacquiao is an aggressive fighter, one who keeps coming, coming and coming some more, moving in behind a sharp right job, sometimes doubling up, and then following with a powerful left--alternating between left hooks and left uppercuts.

 

- The boxer called "Pac Man" is a non-stop boxer with bottomless energy and a buzzsaw style, which tends to wear his opponents down in the late rounds.

 

- A sharper puncher with fast hands, Pacquiao can hurt any opponent as well as being an excellent "finisher," as attested to by his 35 knockouts in 52 fights (a 67% slugging average if you're scoring at home).

 

WEAKNESSES OF BOTH FIGHTERS

 

OSCAR DE LA HOYA

 

- De La Hoya has been far less active than Pacquiao, having had only six fights in five years (and only three in the last four), winning only three of those six fights while Pacquiao has had 12 in the same five-year time span, winning 10, losing one, and drawing one.

 

- Speed tends to bother De La Hoya. In his two losses to Sugar Shane Mosley, Oscar had difficulty dealing with the speed of Mosley's punches.

 

- De La Hoya can be reached with wide punches, one of Manny's specialties.

 

- When De La Hoya throws a punch he is up on his toes, giving Pacquiao an open target for his body punches, which could tend to slow De La Hoya down in the later rounds where he has had stamina problems in the past.

 

MANNY PACQUIAO

 

- Pacquiao is giving away height, reach, and weight to De La Hoya.

 

- Pacquiao, who started his career as a 106-pound light flyweight, is fighting at a weight limit of 147, raising the question of whether he can carry his firepower north with him as well as whether he can weather the heavier punches of a heavier fighter.

 

- Pacquiao's style is one predicated on offense, not defense, and he tends to come charging in with his hands held low and drops his hands and raises his chin after he punches. leaving an inviting target for Oscar.

 

- The "Pac Man" sometimes experiences difficulty "getting to" an opponent who doesn't stand directly in front of him and moves out of range.

 

WHAT EACH MUST DO TO WIN OSCAR DE LA HOYA

 

- Oscar needs to use his physical advantages to offset Pacquiao's speed, using his height and reach to keep Manny off of him and fighting tall to stay beyond Manny's reach.

 

- De La Hoya must throw hard jabs followed by crosses to keep Pacquiao off.

 

- De La Hoya must try to catch Manny coming-in in one of his "Damn-the-torpedos-full-speed-ahead" charges.

 

- Because Pacquiao tends to drop his hands and raise his chin after he punches and jumps back, De La Hoya needs to catch Pacquiao moving back with a left hook counter.

 

MANNY PACQUIAO

 

- Because speed bothers De La Hoya, Manny needs to move in behind a fast right jab and throw speed combinations to Oscar's exposed body, then go up to the head.

 

- Pacquiao must fight at a fast pace, wearing Oscar down. De La Hoya is rusty, having fought as often as Halley's Comet, and has had stamina problems in the past. Manny must keep the pressure on to wear him down.

 

- Pacquiao shouldn't back straight up. Pacquiao tends to jump back after throwing punches, raising his head over his guard. This is a dangerous tactic against a taller fighter with a longer reach like De La Hoya. Pacquiao needs to step back at an angle going to his left, away from Oscar's left hook.

 

- Manny needs to throw looping right hooks. Oscar has always been vulnerable to wide hooks, Sugar Shane Mosley using them effectively against Oscar. Manny needs to do the same.

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Senyor hondacaptiva, anong odd dyan sa tayaan?

dehado ba tayo o llamado?

sus baka nga kinabahan si pacman.

or baka naman, tactic yan pampataas ng pustahan.

di kaya na sindikato na ang laban?

 

sinong may links para maka panood ng live?

ayaw ko manood sa madaming tao eh at wala naman kami pay per view.

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Ever since the Pacman went political with all the hobnobbing. I lost interest in the guy. And generally I can guess what would happen with the severity of his preparation. Is he mucking around with the media or just pounding it out like a champion. But tomorrow witht the odds stacked against him. HEY MANNY GO BE THE MIRACLE YOU WERE AT THE START : BE HUNGRY AND POUND IT OUT THERE.

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