money Stock Market

[Heysiri]

Parang wala, kasi walang kwenta mga sinabi nya

[The Specialist]

Haven't watched PBBM's SONA yet. Normally, even though US/global CPI, not a thing for me to watch it real time. I just try to watch its summary of the session.

What I normally do is the following:

- Analyzed how my watchlist, current holdings are doing. Is it holding the drop, is it strong, or it is an egg that is dropping.

- Scanning. Looking/Identifying the market theme. What name's/groups are strong (RS).

Always remember: It's not the news that is important, its the reaction to it.

- Fundamentals do work, it just takes time before it progress. 

- Price is King in the market. Before a news or event comes, normally price goes first. It has always been the same.

 

Clue less why I don't normally watch those events? Here's why;

- Full of emotions. May mabanggit na negative against sa hawak mo, possible isipin mo na agad. Hala, baka maapektuhan yung hawak ko. Without, really assessing what does the price tells you. Same thing on the positive side, na for example we will lean towards improving "the infrastructure". tingin mo agad kelan bumili ng kung anung related. 

- Analysis Paralysis. Same reason above.

and etc na wala namang kabagay bagay.

 

Edited July 24 by The Specialist

[Batang hampas lupa]

Hopefully may trading na bukas...

[The Specialist]

One of the best thing that you should learn about trading the markets, is the concept of liquidity>technicals>fundamentals>risk management. 

If you don't have that skillsets. Surely you will have a tough time in here like anybody else. 

[The Specialist]

Have lots of time to burn again. So while waiting for the script to finish. Post muna ng makabuluhang bagay.

Back read few pages and check kung anong medyo may sense na tanong or statement yung maaring sagutin. 

Then nakita ko yung common statement na "parang sugal tong stock market". 

- They say those words, pero pag tinanong mo sila, ano ba alam nila how the market actually moves, how or why the price moves? Wala naman masagot, nanghuhula, or ang way nila how to buy/sell a stock is by looking/getting recommendations from forums like this or from anyone else, kakamot kamot ng ulo, sisi ng sisi sa president or kung sino man, and any other reason. 

Pag ganyan yung gawain. eh, nagsusugal ka nga. Kung di ka ba naman tanga magiinvest ka ng hard earned money/or any funds mo ng di mo nireresearch, inaral, inintindi kung anong merun sa papasukin mo. 

Yung fund managers nga, daily work na nila ito ha inaaral pa. Tas di rin lahat sila consistently profitable. Tapos ikaw, wala kang alam, mag eexpect na kumita? edi wow! hahaha.

Pwede siguro makachamba ka. Few trades ganyan, but consistently, i doubt. 

So anung tamang gawin? Itreat mo as your own business. Aralin mo, magdevelop ka ng profitable system na verified kumikita, learned the skills required. Ito lang yung way, to be consistenty profitable in the markets na alam ko.

Edited July 31 by The Specialist

[The Specialist]

Since I posted in here. POV ko lang naman, isa lang nakita kung marunong sa timing. The one posted at november 29. The rest, no comment. hahaha! 

[The Specialist]

On 5/6/2024 at 5:18 PM, Pizzaroll said:

what happened to acen? Good fundamentals and good company. I used to like that stock

Bro, I agree with your statement "Good fundamentals and good company". But every stock undergoes a market cycle. Believe it or not.

Btw, I only agree, that this was a good stock to buy and hold at the timeline posted. (look at the red arrows and vertical lines).

But from nov 2021 - april 15 2024, it became a company to sell and ignore. Posted chart for your reference.

Previously, nadiscuss ko naren dito yung $Acen, baka di mo lang nabasa. Any stock bro, undergoes a cycle. Tingnan mo $Dito, $MM and any others na nag lead ng market. asan na ngaun? Laglag na diba. Yun lang yun.

TBH, full disclosure i bought this stock,  july 26, 2024 @4.93 and 5php using my sister's port. Since I was managing her port (only port i managed in PH market right now). 

I understand, that you may have some further questions in here. So in advance, i'll answer what I saw.

- highly liquid name, currently it has 280.64M. (tells me, institutions have it and not just retailers own the stock). Do you agree?

- the stock, is a candidate of a turn around situation in my system. What i mean is this. From april 17 2024, it rips 69% to the upside. Then base out for 70 days (Institutions accumulated it and if you see in the price action, the gains did hold). At that time, i was just constantly waiting for it to setup and provide a low risk entry point. Just triggered an entry at the price I mentioned. So, syempre up nako, acen current price is 5.49.

- Now, if your next question is how long or until what price it will rise? That I can't answer. No one really knows. What I only know, is when it is extended (my process tells me, to sell a portion of what i hold on it in strength to realized gains) then trend follow the rest.

- group move. As you can see, energy names in the markets are strong right now. Look at $MER it was rising as well right. Not sure if I have mentioned before that it's great if someone can identify the market theme. It's only because, its makes you money.  

Again, I'll post a daily chart of what i saw for your reference. Bait ko noh?

What i want to leave in this conversation is. As always, "Never buy the story, never buy the numbers, without price confirmation".

Have a nice day, I do hope I answered your inquiry.

 

 

 

 

[The Specialist]

On 4/12/2024 at 7:10 PM, shotgunlover said:

any former BOH members here? 😅

Not a member bro. But I attended their open house events. Nalaman ko lang from a trader friend, previous BOH member, and colleague na pwede mag joined for free. So, that time hinapit ko na aralin lahat ng kakayanin na asa library nila. Favorite ko contents ni senyor qt and yung pagiging straight forward ni jet. His famous words "Wag mag utak retail" hehehe.

[The Specialist]

On 4/13/2024 at 3:28 PM, Maykeee said:

(this post is for the newbies just like me and about our local stock market)

Just a stock investor/trader pag may time... Nung pandemic, my investments are all wins Lalo na nung nag-stabilize na ang local and global markets.

There are 2 lessons that really hit me hard Kahit na I'm aware na about it dahil Kahit papaano ay may group Ako na Pina-follow which is the Traders Den sa fb ang dun Ako nagseself study...

a. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)- maraming nakong stocks na nabili dahil sa hype. Sadly, in just 1 day, bagsak agad ang price. Talo agad.

b. Learn how to cut loss- in connection with item A, alam ko na na kailangan ko ng bumitaw sa stocks na nabili ko dahil downtrend na, pero umasa Ako na magrerecover Yung price hanggang sa napabayaan ko and nasa 30 percent nalang Yung value nung stock ko.

Shout pala sa UPSON. Hehe... Just sharing. Yun lang

Good share bro, keep sharpening the saw.

Narinig ko na yung Traders Den before. Ito ata yung nagbebenta ng libro at nagpapaseminar. Di ako nakapagjoined or nacheck contents nila. Narinig ko lang sa tropa ko who joined on that group at inaral yung mga mama/calma strat. Kamusta resulta ng tabularasa mo? If tama pagkakaalala ko, yung members nila na nagseminar ay sinusuggest nila na magprofit ng 30% or up ata sa tabularasa, bago mag real port. Tabularasa is virtual port btw (para sa ibang magbabasa). 

 

[The Specialist]

There is a misconception about that term "long term hold" and this was over used by the public without realizing the real meaning of it.

 

Long term hold, means holding/investing/trading a stock for a long term while you are in profit. What makes its wrong, is that people holds a losing stock position long term. 

 

So it should be:

A long term holder/investor/trader while in profit. And a short term investor/holder/trader during losses.

[Batang hampas lupa]

On 8/1/2024 at 12:41 AM, The Specialist said:

Good share bro, keep sharpening the saw.

Narinig ko na yung Traders Den before. Ito ata yung nagbebenta ng libro at nagpapaseminar. Di ako nakapagjoined or nacheck contents nila. Narinig ko lang sa tropa ko who joined on that group at inaral yung mga mama/calma strat. Kamusta resulta ng tabularasa mo? If tama pagkakaalala ko, yung members nila na nagseminar ay sinusuggest nila na magprofit ng 30% or up ata sa tabularasa, bago mag real port. Tabularasa is virtual port btw (para sa ibang magbabasa). 

 

Eto ba yung kay gandakoh?

How much po kaya ang bayad sa seminar sa traders den?

[The Specialist]

On 8/7/2024 at 9:39 PM, Batang hampas lupa said:

Eto ba yung kay gandakoh?

How much po kaya ang bayad sa seminar sa traders den?

Yup, if I recall it right. Sya nga ata yung founder nun. Matagal na kasi nung nabasa ko yung article na yun or post nya sa fb. (before pandemic pa ata yun)

Re: the fee's sa seminar nung trader's den. I have no idea. Clearly ko naman sinabe na di ako sumali sa group na yun. Di ko gets, baket saken mo itatanong. hehehe

Piece of advice sir, if your really eager to learn something. try mo mag google din or gamet ng kahet anung search engine to get information/s you want to learn or find out. Wala ka naman sa dinosaurs era e. Gusto mo lahat spoonfed. hahaha!

Edited August 9 by The Specialist

[The Specialist]

Market outlook for 2nd half is already out (seen col financial and first metrosec; not sure with the others). It is already uploaded in youtube.

When I have lots of time to burn. I do watch it, to see/learn or have an idea of the potential catalyst. Just do take note, where the meeting/s are held. Since, there will be some changes with its price and volume and so as the liquidity. So do your diligence to scan each and every stock. And not just blindly buy anything listed on their stock picks. Good luck!

 

[Batang hampas lupa]

Kanina umabot ng 7,000 si psei.

Sana masustain niya ang momentum...

[MartinDomingo]

Sold PLUS and IONIC shares

bought 300k shares of ABA

looks promising

may the gods be ever in our favor